Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.016748 0.018563 0.020393 0.022371 0.024443 0.026545 0.028835
2025-06-01 0.013097 0.015905 0.018859 0.022174 0.025767 0.029521 0.033722
2025-06-08 0.010717 0.014031 0.017638 0.021800 0.026418 0.031341 0.036943
2025-06-15 0.009163 0.012837 0.016958 0.021823 0.027324 0.033276 0.040136
2025-06-22 0.007672 0.011545 0.016023 0.021430 0.027650 0.034473 0.042425
2025-06-29 0.006274 0.010218 0.014929 0.020748 0.027558 0.035127 0.044040
2025-07-06 0.004965 0.008865 0.013698 0.019812 0.027095 0.035294 0.045049
2025-07-13 0.004413 0.008434 0.013547 0.020124 0.028048 0.037043 0.047813
2025-07-20 0.003725 0.007747 0.013024 0.019942 0.028384 0.038056 0.049716
2025-07-27 0.003136 0.007133 0.012549 0.019781 0.028716 0.039038 0.051563
2025-08-03 0.002917 0.007040 0.012742 0.020442 0.030025 0.041153 0.054703
2025-08-10 0.002416 0.006459 0.012245 0.020202 0.030220 0.041942 0.056299
2025-08-17 0.001818 0.005679 0.011480 0.019659 0.030113 0.042469 0.057710
2025-08-24 0.001383 0.005102 0.010975 0.019449 0.030428 0.043520 0.059771
2025-08-31 0.000992 0.004512 0.010396 0.019101 0.030540 0.044304 0.061497
2025-09-07 0.000745 0.004140 0.010110 0.019122 0.031102 0.045615 0.063832
2025-09-14 0.000481 0.003631 0.009563 0.018755 0.031142 0.046276 0.065382
2025-09-21 0.000250 0.003058 0.008853 0.018119 0.030807 0.046457 0.066341
2025-09-28 0.000082 0.002454 0.008014 0.017247 0.030128 0.046187 0.066736
2025-10-05 0.000042 0.002314 0.007977 0.017537 0.030977 0.047807 0.069404
2025-10-12 0.000006 0.002030 0.007643 0.017367 0.031200 0.048637 0.071110
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001778 0.007335 0.017218 0.031438 0.049477 0.072820
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001774 0.007526 0.017833 0.032714 0.051624 0.076123